Nine horses will run a mile on the lawn at Gulfstream Park in Saturday’s $100,000 Appleton S. (G3) grass. The morning line pick is ghost motto #7 Brian Lynch (3-1), who was last seen winning the 2021 Mac Diarmida S. (G2) on the course there. more than 13 months.
The six-year-old Goldencents son is obviously talented and he loves the surface shown by his 2-for-2 mark at Gulfstream. Kentucky-bred did a lot of its best work running longer and controlling the tempo from the start, and I don’t think the potential race setup will help its chances with Irad taking the reins. The gelding will be a counter-bet to this course outside the long absence.
There is an abundance of early speed in the field which will benefit horses that are getting off the pace. A pair of horses particularly interests me, led by a closer #2 Scarlett Sky (6-1) from Shug McGaughey’s barn. The four-year-old picked up his biggest win yet when he won the 2021 Transylvania S. (G3) at Keeneland, but he’s failed to hit the board in a trio of subsequent efforts since.
The Sky Mesa colt had two fine efforts on this surface as a three-year-old, including a second-place finish in the Palm Beach S., and he’s been training well since mid-January. Joel Rosario’s constituency adds to its appeal.
Graham Motion’s #9 English Bee (7-2) doesn’t have the same toe turn as this one, but the chestnut from the Channel has the right running style to make an impact late in the event. The six-year-old Kentucky has won or placed in five of seven local screenings and has plenty of top-three appeal with Saez in the silks. I will also include the stalker in all multi-race games.
I’m also having trouble deciphering how the rhythm storyline is going to play out, so I’ll be using the “everything” button in some rungs of the verticals.
- $20 win #2 Scarlett Sky ($20)
- $2 trifecta 2 with 9 with everything ($14)
- Trifecta 1$2 with everything with 9 ($7)
- $1 trifecta 9 with 2 with everything ($7)